Scientific evenings

Date of publication: 8. 11. 2012
Events

University of Nova Gorica invites to the lecture: "Going inevitably wrong: a short course on errors in weather forecasting" by Prof. Dr. Nedjeljka Žagar (Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, University of Ljubljana).

Lecture will take place on Thursday, 15 November 2012 at 7 p.m. at the mansion Zemono (Vipava).

Lecture will be in English.

Nearly 60 years after the first objective weather forecast was produced, two things seem to be clear. First of all, meteorologists are (nearly) only people who know something about future. Concretely, they are in general trusted to know weather evolution on time scales of several days. Secondly, there is a prevailing belief that meteorologists are always (more or less) wrong even though few people can explain why it is so.
Fortunately, this is not making us depressed but rather exited about a realm of research challenges we face under an ever-increasing pressure from the public for perfect forecasts.
In this seminar, I first intend to demonstrate how little the public knows about characteristics of the weather forecast errors. Subsequently, I will discuss what is possible to know about forecast errors, what we do know and what we know that we do not know. I would show examples from my research in recent years and describe some ongoing projects.

Kindly invited!

Contact

Andreja Leban
Public Relations
T: +386 5 3315 397
E: andreja.leban@ung.si